![]() "We do know that those who become pregnant after rape are more likely to choose abortion than to continue their pregnancies," she says. Rachel Perry, a professor of OB-GYN at the University of California, Irvine who was not involved in the study. "Part of why we do research is because when I think about the individual patients, it's too much," he says.Ĭertainly not all of the people who become pregnant due to rape want an abortion, observes Dr. But to be confronted with these estimates that are so high in states where there's no meaningful abortion access? It's hard to comprehend." "Sexual assault is incredibly common - I knew that in a general sense. Their total estimate of pregnancies due to rape in states with abortion bans is 64,565.ĭickman, who is also a researcher at the City University of New York, says he and his colleagues were shocked at the numbers their calculations yielded. "These are hard numbers to come up with - there's no kind of systematic collection at the level of health care providers to be able to answer this question of what's the pregnancy rate among people who have been victims of a completed vaginal rape," Dickman acknowledges. The number they arrived at is approximately 520,000 rapes.įinally, they calculated that 12.5% of those assaults would result in a pregnancy, based on CDC data. They then used Bureau of Justice Statistics data on criminal victimization and FBI Uniform Crime Reports to assess the number of vaginal rapes of women, ages 15-45, that happened in those 14 states while abortion bans were in effect. "The foundation was a survey that the conducted that we think is probably the most accurate estimate of not just the sexual assaults that were reported to law enforcement, but also those that weren't reported to law enforcement." ![]() "We used the best available research and data that we're aware of to come up with the fraction of women of reproductive age who are survivors of - and the terminology here is horrible - completed vaginal rape," Dickman explains. To arrive at the figure of nearly 65,000 rape-caused pregnancies, researchers first estimated the number of rapes that occurred in the states with abortion bans, while those bans were in effect - time periods that vary state-to-state. Those that have exceptions require victims to report the rape to authorities, something that research shows happens only in a small fraction of sexual assaults. Few states with total bans on abortion have exceptions for rape. While there once was political consensus that abortion should be permitted in cases of rape, that has changed. Jackson Women's Health Supreme Court decision overturned the federal guarantee of abortion rights. The figure, while an estimate that may spark some debate, is an important data point since the Dobbs v. They estimate in a research letter published Wednesday in JAMA Internal Medicine that 64,565 pregnancies have been caused by rape in the 14 states where abortion is banned. He and a group of colleagues have arrived at an answer. ![]()
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